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Posts And Comments For October 2015

Posted: Oct 31, 2015, 10:10 PM

Chris Collura commented on his own photo.



Posted: Oct 31, 2015, 9:48 PM

Chris Collura commented on Chris Novy's photo.

This is so charming and beautiful. I stopped by there in late May and thought the original memorial was awesome enough.

Posted: Oct 31, 2015, 9:44 PM


Thats my funny face for you all!Absolutely excruciating pain in my left knee. Spent a few hours around midnight in the FTL ER and was put on strong pain killers and antibiotics. I had a flare-up of first time bursitis.Man this is painful stuff ... on par with being whacked on the knee cap with a hammer (without the pain afterwards going away).I don't care if the ER Co payment is $20 or $20,000. Relief from this is worth any price now!I hope everyone had a good Halloween. What a drama scene watching people all busted up and drunk walking (or being carried) in here.

Posted: Oct 31, 2015, 5:12 PM

Chris Collura commented on Neva Andersen's post.

What is that? Smashing giant pumpkins?

Posted: Oct 31, 2015, 4:15 PM

Chris Collura commented on Bill Rowe's post.

Group: RadarScope Users Group

Fresnel effect?

Posted: Oct 31, 2015, 3:50 PM

Chris Collura commented on Charles Edwards's photo.

What good is it when you cannot see em.

Posted: Oct 31, 2015, 3:41 PM

Chris Collura commented on John Martel's post.

Posted: Oct 31, 2015, 3:35 PM

Chris Collura commented on NOAA NWS Weather Prediction Center's video.

http://sky-chaser.com/perfstrm.htm

Posted: Oct 31, 2015, 3:28 PM

Chris Collura commented on John Martel's post.

Posted: Oct 31, 2015, 3:11 PM

Chris Collura replied to Lori Ferguson's comment.

Shit ... and I'm on a contract in Chicago and my primary doctor is in Florida. I'll wait for it to go away :(

No one is taking my f_cking money again. A trip to the ER last year costed over $2,500 WITH insurance, and it was just mild panic attack from caffeine withdrawal (chest pain does need to be checked in all cases though). An expensive answer indeed.

Posted: Oct 31, 2015, 2:43 PM

Chris Collura commented on his own photo.

Oct 31 and after 3 days of improvement it's in a dull but really painful ache. Knee "clicks" silently when I bend it and straighten it. Knee cap no longer hurts. Now it's the tendon below it that's sore and swollen. I'm so not ready for these "geriatric" problems.

Posted: Oct 31, 2015, 2:22 PM

Chris Collura commented on Judy Boudreaux Miller's post.

I hate those receipts. Waste of paper. Kills trees. Doesn't fit in your wallet.

A "discount" receipt?

Posted: Oct 31, 2015, 2:18 PM

Chris Collura commented on Josh Morgerman's post.

Posted: Oct 31, 2015, 11:57 AM

Chris Collura commented on Caleb Elliott's post.

Posted: Oct 31, 2015, 10:30 AM

Chris Collura commented on Caleb Elliott's post.

Posted: Oct 31, 2015, 8:00 AM

Chris Collura commented on Doug Kiesling's post.

Awesome ... you guys had your ups and downs, but love eventually found a way! She's awesome too!

Posted: Oct 30, 2015, 8:13 PM


Fermilab (particle accelerator) ... Near Batavia, IL from flight departing Chicago Midway.

Posted: Oct 30, 2015, 2:04 PM

Chris Collura commented on Charles Eugene's post.

Posted: Oct 30, 2015, 1:56 PM

Chris Collura replied to Caleb Elliott's comment.

I would ask you about these before looking at such a site. Aren't cell phones banned because they cannot keep up with rapid changes through cells (if below certain altitude) and it wrecks havoc with the carriers billing? Or does it really affect avionics (be safe than sorry)?

Posted: Oct 30, 2015, 1:51 PM

Chris Collura commented on Verne Carlson's photo.

There's a chase tour group with 2 vans similar to this?

Posted: Oct 30, 2015, 1:50 PM

Chris Collura commented on Jason Foster's post.

Posted: Oct 30, 2015, 1:49 PM

Chris Collura commented on Charles Edwards's photo.



Posted: Oct 30, 2015, 10:34 AM

Chris Collura commented on a post.

Posted: Oct 30, 2015, 10:33 AM

Chris Collura replied to a comment.

Posted: Oct 30, 2015, 10:32 AM

Chris Collura replied to Dave Lewison's comment.

Nice one, Dave Lewison!

Posted: Oct 30, 2015, 9:45 AM


Gotta unpack my ice scraper. Cold this morning and got our first frost (NW of Chicago) ... This plastic business card at least got the job done!

Posted: Oct 30, 2015, 9:34 AM

Chris Collura commented on Evan Bookbinder's post.

Posted: Oct 30, 2015, 9:32 AM

Chris Collura commented on Jason Foster's post.

Stress caused me to get a bout of shingles a couple of months ago. It was nasty, and no, you don't have to be old to get it (despite my insurance and Walgreens denying the vaccine for it cuz I was under 50). Got life time scaring and mild nerve damage from it, all permanant. Chill the heck out.

Posted: Oct 30, 2015, 9:29 AM

Chris Collura replied to Jason Foster's comment.

But you used the WRONG pill.

Posted: Oct 30, 2015, 9:28 AM

Chris Collura commented on a post.

Posted: Oct 30, 2015, 9:26 AM

Chris Collura commented on Jeff Piotrowski's post.

Looks like some upper level support. Hope no one was in it.

Posted: Oct 30, 2015, 8:11 AM

Chris Collura commented on Jason Foster's post.

Morning sickness, just like Dave Lewison and Scott McPartland said. Get an ultrasound!

Anyway, stress can mimic some serious illness.

Posted: Oct 30, 2015, 6:23 AM

Chris Collura commented on Tim Marshall's photo.

Where's the low to mid level jet when you need it? :)

Posted: Oct 30, 2015, 6:07 AM

Chris Collura replied to his own comment.

Posted: Oct 29, 2015, 8:03 PM

Chris Collura commented on Dalton Do's post.

Posted: Oct 29, 2015, 8:00 PM

Chris Collura commented on iCyclone's photo.

I remember VECTORS in physics with calculus I. Much less exciting on a black board.

Posted: Oct 29, 2015, 7:41 PM

Chris Collura commented on Josh Morgerman's post.

Posted: Oct 29, 2015, 7:04 PM

Chris Collura commented on Dalton Do's post.

Posted: Oct 29, 2015, 5:15 PM

Chris Collura replied to Charles Edwards's comment.

Yeah I think your group and mine got suckered into Wisconsin a day earlier and we got hosed.

I'll never forget the look on your face on the 26th in NE Nebraska with George Kourounis and Mike Theiss all bummed out under an LP.

There's no consolation. Friends don't let friends chase in Wisconsin!

Posted: Oct 29, 2015, 4:57 PM

Chris Collura commented on Christopher Greene's post.

Some kinetic energy 4 you!

Posted: Oct 29, 2015, 4:49 PM

Chris Collura commented on Derek Sibley's post.

Keep up the good work 'fins!

Posted: Oct 29, 2015, 1:46 PM

Chris Collura replied to his own comment.

Hey Bob Frady, In my 5th and 6th grades, I had such a teacher. His name was Mr Howarth ... A creepy looking ginger headed guy with a high forehead, short fuse, and chair-chunking temper from Hell!

Ironically, he was given the special education (bad kid) classes. I would see him - raging in a tantrum - throwing wastebaskets and chairs.

He had a white plastic metre stick he would whip us with. The more bad kids were, the more "centimeters" of "the metre stick" they would get. The metre stick actually broke, and I still got the half of it in my tool box (from 1981)!

If the metre stick wasn't available, mister Howarth would just take you over his knee and spank you in front of the rest of the snickering class ... Those were the days :)

Posted: Oct 29, 2015, 11:41 AM

Chris Collura replied to his own comment.

I passed someone who was skidded into the ditch in that. I managed to blast N to 70, then E to Kansas for the Grinnell storm.

Posted: Oct 29, 2015, 11:36 AM

Chris Collura commented on Stephen Jones's post.

In 5th and 6th grades I saw scuffles between students and teachers (early 80s) ... the only difference is that the teacher would knock the shit out of you too!

Posted: Oct 29, 2015, 11:35 AM

Chris Collura replied to a comment.

Posted: Oct 29, 2015, 11:33 AM

Chris Collura commented on Scott Hammel's photo.



Posted: Oct 29, 2015, 9:35 AM

Chris Collura replied to a comment.

Posted: Oct 29, 2015, 9:31 AM

Chris Collura replied to Matt Sellers's comment.

I know. 2015 less the fall season. Trolling. Maybe Anchorage, Alaska will get the tornadoes next Wednesday.

Posted: Oct 29, 2015, 9:26 AM

Chris Collura replied to Dave Lewison's comment.

Yeah ... moisture will be crap I'm sure.

Posted: Oct 29, 2015, 9:11 AM


Next week if it verifies... This is way out, so take this as a JOKE (it was originally an ad posted by Kohls saying 20% off but I couldn't resist taking the ad and altering it)!I could post comments on this post, but the little camera to the left wasn't there (screw FB and its bugs)!The moisture and instability will be lacking big time anyway.

Posted: Oct 29, 2015, 9:09 AM

Chris Collura commented on Kohl's link.

Wanted to post a picture on this but no little camera 《《《 to left, WTF?

Facebook garbage app...

Posted: Oct 29, 2015, 8:25 AM

Chris Collura commented on Tim Marshall's photo.

I know it's way out but something is in the works out there come next Wednesday or so...

Posted: Oct 29, 2015, 8:19 AM

Chris Collura commented on Scott Hammel's photo.

I effed myself good and hard this day (with no Vaseline) simply because I had to back track for fuel. Never made that mistake again.

Posted: Oct 29, 2015, 7:33 AM

Chris Collura commented on Food & Wine's link.

Prozac is far more destructive (and expensive) than my red wine once a day! If I'm blue or had a rough day, that red wine makes it all go away!

Posted: Oct 29, 2015, 7:30 AM

Chris Collura commented on Luis Alberto LLense's post.

Posted: Oct 29, 2015, 7:25 AM

Chris Collura commented on Charles Edwards's photo.

Shadow of a contrail (airliner above the cloud deck) viewed from below. Nice.

Posted: Oct 29, 2015, 7:13 AM

Chris Collura commented on Jeffrey Lâm Hùng's post.

Do jet ski in that ... that ship is jumping the waves just like one!

Posted: Oct 29, 2015, 6:52 AM

Chris Collura replied to his own comment.

Thanks Marko Korošec. I was much farther east in Kansas that day on the Bennington tornado.

Posted: Oct 29, 2015, 6:51 AM

Chris Collura commented on Tarmo Tanilsoo's photo.

Posted: Oct 28, 2015, 8:58 PM

Chris Collura commented on George Kourounis's photo.

Is that the mouth of the Credit river? I remember seeing a big storm there in 2009.

Posted: Oct 28, 2015, 8:57 PM

Chris Collura replied to Matt Crowther's comment.

Extratropical system that absorbed Patricia's remnants.

Posted: Oct 28, 2015, 1:11 PM

Chris Collura commented on Reed Timmer Extreme Meteorologist's photo.

Posted: Oct 28, 2015, 1:04 PM

Chris Collura commented on Bill Hark's post.

Surprised? I'm not.

People lost common sense, along with their busted nuts and lost brains.

Posted: Oct 28, 2015, 12:54 PM

Chris Collura commented on a post.

Posted: Oct 28, 2015, 12:46 PM

Chris Collura updated his status.

You know how much I MISS my mom. God love her. But im disobeying her --Praytel, how?

...I'M TOO F_CKING NICE...

I always heard it from my mom. My dad got angry when I did that. And, most recently, my best friend - and ONLY friend I have here in Chicago - Told me that.

Today was an eye opener as I am always polite, willing, and nice to my boss (actually he's not my boss, just the EDI guy - But he never liked me and is a complete effing asshole anyway).

He snarls at me. He never appreciated anything I do, wrote me up once already, talks to himself, rude and looking down on me - yet he seems to be NICE to everyone else.

I can only be nice so many F_CKING times ... And I tell you now that I'll do exactly as my buddy (who used to work for the airlines) would do to unruly or just plain stupid passengers - Give them the exact OPPOSITE of WHAT they expect (because assholes deserve just that: Some "ASS", and I'm not talking about sex)!

Fortunately, this jackass I report to is not writing my paycheck. The consulting firm I work through contract for is ... And what I did so far for almost 2 years was supposed to be a 3 month contract initially. So I'm doing something right!

Attitude ... A "little" thing that can make a BIG difference.

Posted: Oct 28, 2015, 9:53 AM

Chris Collura replied to his own comment.

Glad as its funny what you expect to get damaged doesnt ... Also, yes - It was so rough sitting this out, tickets were so cheap R/T from Chicago too, Josh Morgerman ... not seeing a major hurricane in over a decade "does things" to a storm chaser :(

Posted: Oct 28, 2015, 8:18 AM

Chris Collura commented on Jeffrey Lâm Hùng's post.

Posted: Oct 28, 2015, 6:44 AM

Chris Collura commented on Billy Wade's post.

I'm very sorry to hear this.

Posted: Oct 28, 2015, 6:43 AM


Taking a "knee" I guess. Not sure WTF happened as I don't remember banging my knee nor doing anything "rigorous" (since Sunday morning). Just like if someone whacked my knee cap with a hammer (but the pain is continuous, and almost un bearable). Woke up last night (Tue) and the pain kept me awake.Got tons of ice on it, taking Motrin, barely any swelling though. Not sure what the heck thus is (?).

Posted: Oct 28, 2015, 6:00 AM

Chris Collura commented on iCyclone's photo.

Damn ... I'm still getting over not chasing this one - not only cuz of work - but also I'm sure I might have ran into you guys!

Silky question ... how did the rental car "fare" in this?

Posted: Oct 28, 2015, 5:57 AM

Chris Collura commented on Stephen Jones's post.

Ouch!

Posted: Oct 27, 2015, 6:17 PM

Chris Collura commented on Rocky Rascovich's photo.

Nice shot of the dusk terminator too.

Posted: Oct 27, 2015, 6:16 PM

Chris Collura commented on Jeffrey Lâm Hùng's post.

First I was afraid ... I was petrified :)

Posted: Oct 27, 2015, 6:14 PM

Chris Collura commented on Marko Korošec's post.

Nice! That storm looks like 5/19 in NE in 2014 (?)

Posted: Oct 27, 2015, 4:29 PM

Chris Collura commented on Dalton Do's post.

Posted: Oct 27, 2015, 4:25 PM

Chris Collura commented on Skip Talbot's photo.

Thanks ... I got mine in :)

Posted: Oct 26, 2015, 6:44 PM

Chris Collura commented on Josh Morgerman's post.

Posted: Oct 26, 2015, 4:10 PM

Chris Collura commented on Jerry Prsha's post.

Posted: Oct 26, 2015, 1:36 PM

Chris Collura commented on Tarmo Tanilsoo's post.

Posted: Oct 26, 2015, 11:33 AM

Chris Collura commented on Lindsey Fowler's post.



Posted: Oct 26, 2015, 9:00 AM

Chris Collura commented on his own post.

The last minute weakening to **ONLY** 165 MPH could have made the difference in hiding in the hotel bathroom to the entire building getting swept off its foundation had it stayed at 200 sustained (same difference as an EF5 tornado weakening to EF3, since damage inflicted is exponential due to the square of velocity).

I assume the first part of the eye was somewhat softer than the after eye passage ... as they went through the eastern part of the inner eyewall, where the SE side of that had onshore SW flow with 15 mph movement of the storm added to this wind vector in E Zapata.

Posted: Oct 26, 2015, 6:51 AM

Chris Collura commented on Lindsey Fowler's post.

Is that really Patricia? How can a 737 reach 60,000 feet?

The clouds don't look like ice clouds you would normally find there at such an altitude.

The service ceiling of a 737 400 is like 42,500 feet anyway.

Maybe something else (hole punch cloud from top), meso low, or photoshop image from satellite / ISS and a view from a normal flight?

Posted: Oct 26, 2015, 6:47 AM

Chris Collura commented on Jerry Prsha's post.

Posted: Oct 26, 2015, 6:46 AM

Chris Collura commented on Jerry Prsha's post.

Posted: Oct 26, 2015, 6:42 AM

Chris Collura commented on Tarmo Tanilsoo's post.

Posted: Oct 26, 2015, 6:41 AM

Chris Collura commented on Josh Morgerman's post.

Posted: Oct 26, 2015, 6:40 AM

Chris Collura commented on Josh Morgerman's post.

Posted: Oct 25, 2015, 4:58 PM

Chris Collura commented on Tarmo Tanilsoo's post.

Posted: Oct 25, 2015, 3:04 PM

Chris Collura replied to Chris Downs's comment.

Yeah why did Josh Morgerman suddenly come to mind when the wind was so loud I couldn't even hear myself scream?

Posted: Oct 25, 2015, 2:52 PM

Chris Collura commented on Dave Lewison's post.

Review of Carlo Rossi Paisano. .. by Joey Polura!

Posted: Oct 25, 2015, 2:47 PM

Chris Collura replied to his own comment.

Incredible stuff ... I hope you do a post analysis of this storm as this is "Haiyan grade" stuff.

BTW: You got 9 or more lives!

Posted: Oct 25, 2015, 2:40 PM

Chris Collura commented on iCyclone's photo.

Was this Emilo Zapata, Josh Morgerman?

Posted: Oct 25, 2015, 2:01 PM


Skydive today (probably on last real perfect day of fall). Head down through 10,000 feet (from just over 13,500) netted a true airspeed of 255 MPH (measured on Altitrak)! Maybe the gusts in hurricane Patricia at maximum intensity?

Posted: Oct 25, 2015, 1:56 PM

Chris Collura replied to Charles Edwards's comment.

Posted: Oct 25, 2015, 1:38 PM

Chris Collura updated his status.

Go Dolphins!!!!

Now that's encouraging!

Posted: Oct 25, 2015, 8:39 AM

Chris Collura commented on Jerry Prsha's post.

Posted: Oct 25, 2015, 8:34 AM

Chris Collura commented on GerryandMauna Maddock's post.

Posted: Oct 25, 2015, 8:31 AM

Chris Collura commented on Tarmo Tanilsoo's post.

Posted: Oct 25, 2015, 12:34 AM

Chris Collura commented on iCyclone's photo.

Thanks buddy for posting this and more thanks to God that you didn't get killed in this. I'm wondering if me not being able to go down there was a good thing or not.

Posted: Oct 25, 2015, 12:24 AM

Chris Collura commented on Jeffrey Lâm Hùng's post.

Posted: Oct 25, 2015, 12:22 AM

Chris Collura commented on Blake Michaleski's post.

Was it loud?

Posted: Oct 25, 2015, 12:09 AM

Chris Collura replied to Josh Morgerman's comment.

I'm just close to shooting myself Josh Morgerman. First and foremost ... I'm happy you guys are OK.

But the situation (the only week I could NOT take just one day off was THIS and ONLY THIS week) at my job (atop a tough period in my personal life) has hit me very hard mentally.

The "tropical" SDS is hell (I haven't seen a major hurricane in over 10 years now).

With all due respect - and impeccable luck - You saw, what, like 6 in just 2 years, lol.

This latest MISS OUT for me has me seriously considering to retire from chasing. No I didn't get married (like anyone would date me anyway), but it's just not a healthy hobby for me anymore.

Posted: Oct 24, 2015, 3:06 PM

Chris Collura commented on Mike Theiss's post.

Posted: Oct 24, 2015, 11:07 AM


OK ... It's the windy city but 67 degrees is shorts and T shirt weather for me!

Posted: Oct 24, 2015, 10:09 AM

Chris Collura commented on his own post.

Now they're showing "highway to Hell" trucker reality garbage now. TWC seems to care less about Josh Morgerman and Patricia now. What idiots.

Posted: Oct 24, 2015, 9:24 AM

Chris Collura replied to Marko Korošec's comment.

Yeah ... I hear ya on that!

Posted: Oct 24, 2015, 9:22 AM


OK ... On a much more "humorous" note (besides exciting storms, extreme sports, or gathering with great friends types of events)...... Like or share if you ever wanted to say THIS for some lame Facebook posts!

Posted: Oct 24, 2015, 9:04 AM

Chris Collura commented on Randy Dean Hicks's photo.

Ouch. Tool accidents absolutely suck!

Posted: Oct 24, 2015, 8:45 AM

Chris Collura commented on Michael Laca's post.

Great writeup. Wilma was insane.

Posted: Oct 24, 2015, 8:44 AM

Chris Collura commented on Kasen Mullins's post.

Group: RadarScope Users Group

It's the front range (mountains).

Posted: Oct 24, 2015, 8:43 AM

Chris Collura posted in RadarScope Users Group.


Find the cold front :)

Posted: Oct 24, 2015, 8:39 AM

Chris Collura replied to Kathy Williams's comment.

Josh Morgerman is doing phone interviews this morning from Emilo Zapata (lol, Spanish for Emilys Shoe) with TWC. He appears to be fine.

Posted: Oct 24, 2015, 8:33 AM

Chris Collura replied to Amber McGinnis's comment.

And yes, Amber McGinnis, for THAT type of storm of that strength even I won't go through that! Basically an EF5, a BIG EF5 (that's when Patricia was maxed out). It weakened as it came ashore to 165 MPH (EF3 equivalent).

Posted: Oct 24, 2015, 8:29 AM

Chris Collura commented on Derek Sibley's album.

Ten years ... that's a long time, Derek Sibley.

Why do I suddenly think of the Chicago Cubs all of a sudden, hummm...

Posted: Oct 24, 2015, 8:28 AM

Chris Collura updated his status.

Just so you all know, Josh Morgerman is alive and uninjured and is doing phone interviews with the Weather Channel. Either the weakening and the storm core slightly missing them is why they are OK.

I really wish I was there and hope they come back safely with video and data. These folks will have the floor for hurricane chasing for a while ... sorry, USA.

Posted: Oct 24, 2015, 7:38 AM

Chris Collura replied to Cheryl Schumacher Chang's comment.

Also little details that are nearly impossible to pick up on. Same with Charley in 2004, minute eddies of warm water the storm passes over, small meso scale patterns in upper / mid flow, etc.

Posted: Oct 24, 2015, 7:37 AM

Chris Collura wrote on Mona Lowenthal Krimsky's timeline.

Happy birthday Mona!

Posted: Oct 24, 2015, 7:33 AM

Chris Collura replied to Danilo Grkovich's comment.

Yeah I saw that link in FB but the stupid thing vanished before I can click on it.

Posted: Oct 24, 2015, 6:49 AM

Chris Collura commented on Stephen Jones's post.

Now I am free. No work, nothing to do, nothing to chase. Looks like I'll just go back to sleep and sleep late after looking out my window this morning (yuck - low clouds and fog - my favorite). Salt in a wound after yesterday. The funny thing was despite having to work and cover for the two who were out, I sat there doing nothing as it was a quiet day there. Who needed me there when I could have been doing more exciting things?

Posted: Oct 24, 2015, 6:45 AM

Chris Collura replied to Danilo Grkovich's comment.

No ... It may be some time.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 6:06 PM

Chris Collura updated his status.

Hurricane Patricia is now on shore now. Hopefully chasers Josh Morgerman and Erik are ok (seems like they are). Moving out of La Manzanilla and into a reinforced building the next town over was very wise.

And meanwhile, a tornado in NW Iowa now, with no SPC outlook (less than 2% all areas)?

Also, WTF does Facebook show a link, then I go back in and it's gone with the link above and below it still there?

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 6:01 PM

Chris Collura commented on Adam Cooley's post.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 5:39 PM

Chris Collura commented on John Beven's post.

Weather is an art, not a science, John Beven.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 5:31 PM

Chris Collura commented on Randy Dean Hicks's post.

It's scud. "Less than 2% all areas" my ass, SPC.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 5:27 PM

Chris Collura commented on Jeff Piotrowski's post.

It's called mass transport and the eckman spiral under it.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 4:38 PM

Chris Collura commented on John Beven's post.

The intensity forecasts was never easy. I remember that in 2005.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 3:18 PM

Chris Collura commented on iCyclone's photo.

If you are there now it's too late. Just hang on!

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 3:17 PM

Chris Collura replied to Kathy Williams's comment.

They'll be cutoff for at least a week.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 3:00 PM

Chris Collura replied to Kathy Williams's comment.

A few miles won't make much. La Manzanilla is almost in the core and right of the eye. That's it ... happening now. Worst case for anyone there ... 175 mph sustained winds minutes away.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 2:57 PM

Chris Collura commented on his own photo.

It's taking the worst route for JoshMorgerman and Erik, if they are in that cove and didn't bail out. The webcam is down now there from power failure. In my diagram, the eye is just to the right line in my "arrow". It's just on shore now.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 2:41 PM

Chris Collura replied to Kathy Williams's comment.

Yes ... this is just a scenario. One that hopefully won't be met.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 2:34 PM

Chris Collura commented on Jeff Piotrowski's post.

Coastal up welling? Reminds me how some tornadoes (like the 1998 Columbus crazy farmer tornado on 6/23) suddenly go poof! ... A violent wedge to rope in seconds. Akin to Patricia's inner eyewall!

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 2:10 PM

Chris Collura replied to Marko Korošec's comment.

Quite possibly. It's strange they were circling SE of the storm earlier. Maybe they are checking the environment or dropping EXBTs (EXpendible Bathy Thermograph) probes to measure SST down below the ocean surface?

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 2:06 PM


Rapidly deteriorating weather at La Manzanilla beach Web cam. Let's have a margarita and make sure it's got the little paper umbrella in it!

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 1:51 PM

Chris Collura replied to Danilo Grkovich's comment.

Why do I keep thinking about a "Sani-flush" commercial from the 70s? Must be the vortex!

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 1:46 PM

Chris Collura replied to Marko Korošec's comment.

Then you would have had a 120 mph storm with a clear wide calm "stadium" in the middle. But the inner eyewall should be just collapsing at landfall. Not sure if the 200 mph wind core would be gone by that time?

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 1:46 PM

Chris Collura replied to Marko Korošec's comment.

Holy crap. What a change.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 1:43 PM

Chris Collura commented on his own photo.

Wow great observation guys! The inner eyewall is no longer outputting cold cirrus, but a moat has formed and is starting to get surrounded by an outer more dominant eyewall. I remember this in Charley in 2004. The outer eyewall had 80 to 90 mph gusts, then it got lighter and was only 45 to 50, then the inner eyewall hit and that's where the 150 mph gusts were.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 1:29 PM


Here is the landfall area of hurricane Patricia narrowed down. The worst case scenario will be not only being on the right side of the eye in the inner eyewall, but on the beach end of a cove or bay where water can funnel into. La Manzanilla is like this and if they get the core winds it will be catastrophic. Fortunately there isn't much there and it's been evacuated. I hope @[1274967078:2048:Josh Morgerman] and his group will be OK.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 1:09 PM

Chris Collura commented on Bill Hark's photo.

Killdeer is also a plover.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 1:04 PM

Chris Collura commented on Bill Hark's photo.

It looks like that.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 1:03 PM

Chris Collura replied to Marko Korošec's comment.

Yeah, what's up with that?

Mechanical issues?

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 1:00 PM

Chris Collura commented on Tarmo Tanilsoo's photo.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 12:49 PM

Chris Collura commented on his own photo.



Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 12:43 PM

Chris Collura replied to Danilo Grkovich's comment.

In this (possible) case, and definitely with Wilma, what happened was that an intense meso low formed in the moat between the weakening inner eyewall and intensifying outer eyewall. The inner eye and this meso vortex rotated about each other (binary interaction). Therefore the visible eye appeared to cycloidally wobble like that.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 12:33 PM

Chris Collura replied to Danilo Grkovich's comment.

It's possible. Not as dramatic with this one.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 12:31 PM

Chris Collura replied to a comment.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 12:28 PM


The terrifying jog to the NE was nothing more than a trochoidal loop (jog) so it appears Manzanillo, fortunately, won't get the small and devastating core of hurricane Patricia.The motion is more north now but may wobble again. It can come in anywhere from La Manzanilla and NW of there, but I doubt as far as Puerto Vallarta. The storm eye is also shrinking again, but a slight hint of shear is impinging on the west margins of the storm - but still far from affecting the storms core, since it's moving NNE to begin with.It's a matter of watching now ... landfall is only several hours away. I still hope @[1274967078:2048:Josh Morgerman] and Erik there score somehow on this 100 year storm ... and not get hurt.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 12:22 PM

Chris Collura replied to Danilo Grkovich's comment.

Yes I see that ... and it made a major wobble back N. The NE jog ... apparently enough to give anyone in Manzanillo "Montezuma's revenge", was temporary. They won't get inside the tiny wind core ... hopefully, unless the storm does a loop. This is trochoidal motion.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 11:27 AM

Chris Collura replied to Amber McGinnis's comment.

Its called "Hurricane Chasing" :)

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 11:25 AM

Chris Collura replied to Ryan Shank's comment.

878.4 actually.

That's one heck of a hole in the atmosphere.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 11:24 AM

Chris Collura replied to Jeremy Damec's comment.

That may bring the eye over them in daylight I'm hoping. This storm will suck at night.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 11:22 AM

Chris Collura replied to a comment.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 11:13 AM

Chris Collura replied to a comment.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 11:10 AM

Chris Collura replied to Matt Sellers's comment.

In small eyes there is little calm at the surface due to mixing. In Charley in 2004 it was breezy in the center of the 3 mile wide eye, not calm.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 11:07 AM

Chris Collura replied to Tony Mesias's comment.

http://www.lamanzanilla.info/web_cam.html

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 11:06 AM

Chris Collura commented on Tony Mesias's photo.

http://www.lamanzanilla.info/web_cam.html

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 10:59 AM

Chris Collura commented on iCyclone's photo.

Can you guys get into anything substantial? Right now that should be paramount! It's now 878.4 mb and still intesifying.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 10:57 AM

Chris Collura commented on a post.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 10:51 AM

Chris Collura replied to Tony Mesias's comment.

About 150 to 200 km away from the action. Thanks anyway.

Let's look for one in Manzanillo?

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 10:49 AM

Chris Collura commented on Derek Sibley's photo.

Hey Derek Sibley, I had tickets for this one, from Chicago to Guadalajara / Manzanillo leaving yesterday and they were very good deal (~360.00 r/t).

Manzanillo was my main base city there ... when I was just about to book them my boss decided to take off Friday and the other guy is already on vacation in India, so I couldn't go.

Had this happened last week or next week I could have taken a whole week off if needed.

I'm inches away from resigning from this BS I call "storm chasing". It's just not healthy anymore.

That guy Josh is the luckiest person the past 2 years. He's been on every storm out there. We can't even get 111 mph winds anymore here in the states.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 10:12 AM

Chris Collura commented on Edwin F. Barbosa's post.

Jeez, pelted with hail too.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 10:12 AM

Chris Collura replied to Danilo Grkovich's comment.

Office slave, Danilo Grkovich.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 10:07 AM

Chris Collura replied to Danilo Grkovich's comment.

Yes he has. And since this week was the only week out of the whole freaking YEAR I could not take ONE DAY off ... I'm just banging my head against the wall. I'm not even eating lunch.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 10:04 AM

Chris Collura replied to Danilo Grkovich's comment.

Because Josh Morgerman has better luck than any chaser. So yes, Manzanillo is in very deep shit.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 10:01 AM


Hurricane Patricia just took a big wobble to the NE! If this continues, Manzanillo will get the core of this storm. Very bad.Hopefully that's where @[1274967078:2048:Josh Morgerman] and Erik will be able to find something to hide under!

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 9:48 AM

Chris Collura commented on Tony Mesias's photo.

They will get spared. It's Manzanillo that's in big trouble now.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 9:35 AM

Chris Collura replied to Danilo Grkovich's comment.

That was my starting point if work didn't cock block me on this one.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 9:23 AM

Chris Collura replied to Danilo Grkovich's comment.

Yes and a pretty steady NNE to NE motion now, which will bring the storm over Manzanillo. This will destroy this city if this happens.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 9:21 AM

Chris Collura updated his status.

I see a far more serious and catastrophic event unfolding now with a major shift of Patricia's motion to the NNE to even NE. This will take the center DIRECTLY over Manzanillo around sunset today.

If JoshMorgerman and Erik can get a reinforced building there they be better off.

This ain't easy for me either as Manzanillo was my "target" I would have picked if my boss didn't say "no".

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 9:11 AM

Chris Collura replied to a comment.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 9:03 AM

Chris Collura replied to a comment.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 8:41 AM

Chris Collura replied to Danilo Grkovich's comment.

Hey Danilo Grkovich, some debarking was seen in typhoon Haiyan back in 2013 in the Phillipines.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 8:39 AM

Chris Collura replied to a comment.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 8:37 AM

Chris Collura replied to Harvey Daye Jr.'s comment.

Ofcourse. .. warmer SSTS

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 8:19 AM

Chris Collura replied to his own comment.

That's right, Exon Knew. Not only are these gusts the same ... but a. EF5 tornado doesn't last at one point for 2 hours, probably the duration of the right side of this storm eyewall.

Greensburg in 2007 was ALSO right after dark at night. Consider that too (shudder!)

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 8:17 AM

Chris Collura replied to Brandon Sullivan's comment.

Hey Brett Wright. Tip was the strongest ever. 870 MB central pressure. At last report Patricia was 880 MB. The lower the number the stronger.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 8:11 AM

Chris Collura replied to David Tremper's comment.

Don't feel so bad ... I got screwed out of chasing Patricia because of two coworkers being absent ONLY this week.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 7:57 AM

Chris Collura replied to Aaron Rigsby's comment.

Hey Aaron Rigsby. On his posts he's saying "this is not what I expected leaving LA yesterday" and we just went from "conventional weapons to nuclear war"!

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 7:55 AM

Chris Collura replied to Danilo Grkovich's comment.

Maybe if the same winds (let's say we took a piece of Patricia's core and placed it over an area for 15 seconds) passed over Joplin, MO, the damage will possibly be less ... BUT ... These winds will not last 15 seconds, but an hour or two (right of the eye). I expect to see all the vegetation stripped away, and parts of highway 200 scoured. Pray no towns (and chasers) will be missed by that core.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 7:51 AM

Chris Collura replied to Brandon Sullivan's comment.

Hey Brett Wright, Tip was large but had 190 MPH sustained winds and 870 MB. The pressure being the real indicator, not the winds because "200 MPH" becomes ambiguous when exceeded (damage done is same, everything's gone).

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 7:49 AM

Chris Collura replied to Aaron Rigsby's comment.

Yeah, Aaron Rigsby, and I planned on chasing this as a major hurricane (expecting 120 to 130 mph winds), not something like this. If I did go, I'd probably be backing down seeing that offshore.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 7:46 AM

Chris Collura replied to Brandon Sullivan's comment.

Wilma is no longer the strongest in W Hemisphere, but still stands as the strongest in the Atlantic basin (Patricia is in the Pacific). The strongest tropical cyclone ever (pending what Patricia does today) was Tip in in 1979 in W Pacific / E Hemisphere.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 7:44 AM

Chris Collura replied to Aaron Rigsby's comment.

I was supposed to be there but this week I had work commitments filling in for a few folks. Not sure if this was a good thing at this point.

Also, it's looking like the narrow ring of catastrophic winds will come ashore right AFTER dark or close to it. So little light and footage will mostly be audio.

This is an extremely dangerous situation for any hurricane chasing activity in this storm!

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 7:40 AM

Chris Collura replied to Lori Ferguson's comment.

Hey Lori Ferguson, maybe it will miss any of the small towns there. It's sparse along that area. Not sure where I would even go there. It's just too strong to chase. The aftermath should (hopefully) be just blown down forests and pavement scouring on highway 200. This area should be less than 15 miles wide. The mudslides are another issue. As for Cartels, that would be the least of my worries of those are overrated by the media.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 7:40 AM

Chris Collura replied to his own comment.

Yeah, Vicky Carson. The posts will come in then you won't hear from them for a while (power out).

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 7:36 AM

Chris Collura replied to Tarmo Tanilsoo's comment.

Yeah ... I'm seriously thinking that. I'd love to see it, but in reality ... can I if I was there?

Too strong to chase, no (bomb) shelters, coming in evening (dark). Not what I'm cut out for.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 7:25 AM

Chris Collura replied to his own comment.

Hey Vicky Carson ... Yes. Josh and Erik are there. I see them both lucky and down right insane to be there :)

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 7:24 AM

Chris Collura replied to Lori Ferguson's comment.

Yeah that guy has been on EVERY good storm. I'm jealous and quite angry because I can actually take off for 2 weeks (if I wanted to) after today. But you're right ... if I was there WTF will I even go? A cave?

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 7:22 AM

Chris Collura replied to Danilo Grkovich's comment.

That's explosive intensification for you. Also these intensify more at night due to the heat being from below (ocean) and radiational cooling of the 50k to 60k cloud tops to space, which is maximized at night.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 7:19 AM

Chris Collura replied to Mark Sudduth's comment.

It's more like 10 to 12 miles wide. The strongest winds are probably in a narrow ring 6 miles from the center and maybe a mile thick (Charley in 04 like, just much stronger).

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 7:17 AM

Chris Collura replied to Charles Edwards's comment.

That's right. A 10 mile wide eye, and the 74 mph winds or higher extend 30 miles from the center. The 200 mph winds are probably in a ring a mile or two thick, starting at 5 or 6 miles from the center.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 7:15 AM

Chris Collura commented on Brett Wright's photo.

This may come ashore in rural coastal areas. You simply cannot chase this. Let's hope it misses these little villages. Also I'm worried about the safety of two chasers who are there.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 7:13 AM


Here is the visible satellite image of Patricia off Mexico just after sunrise on Oct 23, 2015.This is the strongest tropical cyclone ever observed in the western hemisphere. Sustained winds at this time are 200 mph, with a central pressure of 882 mb ... and it's still intensifying.Basically this is a strong EF5 tornado ... same destruction possible (like Joplin, MO in May 2011) - But on a larger scale. Gusts can be 250 (or even 300) MPH in a storm like this! It's difficult to wrap your mind around this.Believe it or not, two chasers, @[1274967078:2048:Josh Morgerman] and his chase partner Erik are trying to find a substantial structure to document the core of this thing coming in (near the red "X" in the picture). There's not many major towns in that part of Mexico, along a small 2 lane coastal road (highway 200). The storm will come in sunset or a bit after at the landfall point as a record breaking category 5 hurricane.I was ready to head out yesterday to chase this. I couldn't get the time off due to work (supervisor and coworker out). Maybe this is a good thing because if you don't carry a bomb shelter around with you - how can you even chase something like this?May God be with Josh and Erik over there. Quite frankly, these two are in grave danger and to be honest, if I was them I think I would stand down from this chase. It's not worth getting hurt. I'm concerned for their safety.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 6:19 AM

Chris Collura replied to Dave Lewison's comment.

Probably in the 18 to 25 foot range. With spray that can cut you open.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 6:14 AM

Chris Collura commented on iCyclone's photo.

Josh Morgerman ... I am seriously worried about your safety. This thing is still intensifying and has sustained 200 mph winds. I wouldn't stay there UNLESS your hotel has a tornado shelter underground.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 6:11 AM

Chris Collura replied to Jason Foster's comment.

I think tearing and abrading type "sand blast" injuries. You should not even be above ground in something like this.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 6:10 AM

Chris Collura replied to Stephen Barabas's comment.

I could not chase this because of work (boss and Co worker out only today so I have to fill in). IMO this storm isn't even chaseable. Too strong. You need to be UNDERGROUND if you are in the eye of that storm.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 6:08 AM

Chris Collura replied to Dave Lewison's comment.

Damage in this location would NOT BE SURVIVABLE - anywhere! Basically the same wind speeds you had in the 5/22/11 JOPLIN EF5 TORNADO ... JUST MUCH WIDER.

Posted: Oct 23, 2015, 6:06 AM

Chris Collura commented on Dave Lewison's photo.

This is just unreal! Find a cave in a cliff to put you and your car in?

Do you see NHC discussion on this? 205 MPH ... yes it's still intensifying! 880 mb is basically 4,500 feet above sea level - you'll actually get winded running up stairs (almost like Denvers altitude)! And as Dave Lewison mentioned ... This is a strong EF5 tornado (just bigger)! Also EF5 tornado damages by peak gusts, not a 205 MPH sustained jet of air.

Posted: Oct 22, 2015, 6:20 PM

Chris Collura replied to Mike Theiss's comment.

Hey Mike Theiss, did anyone else make it out there ... Jim Edds?

Posted: Oct 22, 2015, 5:47 PM

Chris Collura commented on his own post.

Hey Mike Theiss ... I figured that. Highway 200 does not look like a substantial road and will be rendered impassable in many areas. Those small villages are not options IMO. Winds now blasting to 150 MPH with the night time diurnal max still ahead. Pray they (Josh Morgerman and Erik) stay safe and come back with another story to tell their kids and grandkids!

Posted: Oct 22, 2015, 5:40 PM

Chris Collura commented on Dave Lewison's photo.

Look towards icyclone (Josh Morgerman's page) as he should be able fill you in on the pure violence of Patricia!

Posted: Oct 22, 2015, 3:24 PM

Chris Collura commented on his own post.

Yeah I sound like a victim now. With hurricanes it's just the same old god damn shit every year in the Atlantic. I don't even buy canned goods anymore in FL before the season starts.

Posted: Oct 22, 2015, 3:22 PM

Chris Collura commented on Doug Kiesling's link.

2004 and 2008 was one of famed golden years in our chasing careers. No one there to steal (or shear apart) our thunder.

Posted: Oct 22, 2015, 1:59 PM

Chris Collura replied to Jack Corso's comment.

The boys are gay and have been dating Murphey for years...

Posted: Oct 22, 2015, 12:08 PM

Chris Collura commented on The NOAA Hurricane Hunters's photo.

Pinhole eye!

Posted: Oct 22, 2015, 12:06 PM

Chris Collura replied to Dave Lewison's comment.

All right all right, Doug Kiesling. I know :)

Posted: Oct 22, 2015, 11:59 AM

Chris Collura commented on Doug Kiesling's link.

Nice!

Posted: Oct 22, 2015, 11:57 AM

Chris Collura commented on iCyclone's photo.

This may be nearing cat 5 at an early evening landfall Friday. I know you know what you are all doing but stay safe!

Not much in the way of substantial shelter in sporadic fishing villages along highway 200. I hope Erik can be of some great support.

I would never do this solo.

Posted: Oct 22, 2015, 11:46 AM

Chris Collura replied to Doug Kiesling's comment.



Posted: Oct 22, 2015, 11:28 AM

Chris Collura updated his status.

Hurricane Patricia is now entering category 4 intensity and taking aim on the coastal areas of the Jalisco province of Mexico for a Friday (10/23) evening landfall anywhere from Chamela to Puerto Vallarta. Intensity and landfall (looking to be just after dark on Friday) will be at AT LEAST category 4 strength.

The storm is very tight, with a pinhole eye and the hurricane forced wind envelope extending out a mere 30 miles from the center. I could not chase this due to work. Chasers who did go (Josh Morgerman and I think Mike Theiss?) need to be especially wary of where the small core comes in (autopista / highway 200 dotted by small fishing villages).

Like Charley in 2004 ... If you are not in the storm core - you won't even see hurricane conditions. If you are, you damn sure better be surrounded by reinforced concrete!

Posted: Oct 22, 2015, 9:45 AM

Chris Collura commented on iCyclone's photo.

You might be dealing with a near cat-5 if trends continue. What a year for you.

What I would do now to just see a 111 mph major hurricane ain't funny.

You saw like what, a half dozen in a couple of years?

I need to get a cat and start posting pictures of that.

Posted: Oct 22, 2015, 7:13 AM

Chris Collura replied to Brian Lovern's comment.

Posted: Oct 22, 2015, 6:58 AM

Chris Collura commented on his own post.



Posted: Oct 22, 2015, 6:49 AM

Chris Collura replied to Dave Lewison's comment.



Posted: Oct 22, 2015, 6:28 AM

Chris Collura commented on Josh Morgerman's post.

Posted: Oct 22, 2015, 6:25 AM

Chris Collura replied to Dave Lewison's comment.

Lol ... that's funny. My job is extremely flexible and I could have landed a R/T ticket there for $360. Just the one single day no one was in the office was that day!

Screw Murphey.

Posted: Oct 22, 2015, 6:23 AM

Chris Collura replied to Doug Kiesling's comment.

Again ... I can't be there. After it's over ... I'll get over it :(

Posted: Oct 21, 2015, 10:07 PM

Chris Collura is feeling pissed off.

God damn it ... With the Cubs lost, I find out a MAJOR hurricane is hitting Mexico Friday (the opportunity I was waiting for this year) and low and behold (despite me being an IT contractor) - I cannot get the time cleared.

Like a "knife" in an old ladies bag in an airport TSA line - Two words: CAN'T GO!

This is why I wanna start taking up something like knitting or some benign hobby instead of chasing storms. Haven't even SEEN a major hurricane in TEN EFFING YEARS!

I have one of the most flexible jobs you can have ... So why does the storm HAVE to be on the ONE DAMN day of the year my boss is out and other guy on vacation?

Posted: Oct 21, 2015, 9:14 PM

Chris Collura updated his status.

As for the Chicago Cubs ... Horrible. Just horrible.

At least I'm also a NY Mets fan too ... but seeing the Cubs breaking their losing g streak would have been nice.

Posted: Oct 21, 2015, 6:29 PM

Chris Collura commented on Adam Cooley's post.

Posted: Oct 21, 2015, 6:28 PM

Chris Collura replied to Josh Morgerman's comment.

Hehehe! I know that feeling!

Posted: Oct 21, 2015, 6:10 PM

Chris Collura commented on a post.

Posted: Oct 21, 2015, 6:07 PM

Chris Collura replied to Josh Morgerman's comment.

Remember ... it's the Pacific. No shear. No dry air. Tightening core. Bath-warm SSTs. What else can go wrong?

Posted: Oct 21, 2015, 6:02 PM

Chris Collura replied to Josh Morgerman's comment.

Yeah ... bad timing on me for these things. Glad to have someone covering these things.

I'm sure (with the looks of the inner core of that thing now) you'll get to see rapid intensification and a daytime landfall ... and a mere 2 and a half hours from home (not a half a day)!

Posted: Oct 21, 2015, 4:43 PM

Chris Collura commented on Rachel Castellanos's post.

Posted: Oct 21, 2015, 4:22 PM

Chris Collura replied to his own comment.

Just keep doing what you're doing, Josh. I'm trying to move to CA soon. So easy access to BOTH basins.

Posted: Oct 21, 2015, 4:18 PM

Chris Collura replied to his own comment.

Yeah I hope you get a good chase. I have not been in a major hurricane since 2005 (10 YEARS).

Posted: Oct 21, 2015, 4:17 PM

Chris Collura updated his status.

Another frustrating storm chasing situation for me ... maybe God don't want me chasing anymore this year (?)

Soon to be hurricane Patricia hitting near Manzanillo (Mexico) this Friday ... Not bad for tickets either ... But - Something always has to happen, right?

Yup ... Filling in for both my boss (whose out this Thursday and Friday) AND a Co worker who decides to go to India ONLY this week after not going on vacation in 3 years :(

This is where JoshMorgerman come into play ... with his continuous track record of good luck and one intercept after another. At least we'll have someone down there chasing it.

Posted: Oct 21, 2015, 4:06 PM

Chris Collura commented on iCyclone's photo.

Tickets from Chicago to Manzanillo were not bad but for work reasons (boss out ONLY this week out of entire YEAR - Go figure), so I cannot go.

This one's all yours ... you're awesome luck should continue to shine (jealous sigh).

Posted: Oct 21, 2015, 1:46 PM

Chris Collura replied to Stephen Skelly's comment.

Interesting. This year is still cool because either a Chicago or NY team will at least make it to the World Series. The Cubs (not likely now) would have been nice, but I like the Mets too, so no big deal. Just shows how detrimental a sports curse can be.

Posted: Oct 21, 2015, 8:55 AM

Chris Collura replied to his own comment.

All hurricane / typhoon chasing is dangerous, Joshua Lazenby. But a trip to Mexico from the USA in a bi lingual and safe area is sure safer than a run down place somewhere else. It's not the storm that scares me, it's the political and civil unrest and aftermath that does.

Posted: Oct 21, 2015, 8:52 AM

Chris Collura updated his status.

Chicago Cubs and NY Mets play game 4 in NLCS tonight. Can they win and prolong the agony? Or will the "Cubs curse" rear it's ugly prominent "Billy Goat head"?

FYI, the Mets didn't win a world series since 1986. They last played the NY Yankees ("subway" series) but lost in 2000. The Cubs haven't won a World Series since 1908. The last time they were even IN a World Series (and lost) was 1945.

Posted: Oct 21, 2015, 6:44 AM

Chris Collura commented on iCyclone's photo.

Funny thing is no one chased it in Mexico. What if that happened today ... how many chasers would be in Cozumel / Cancun?

Posted: Oct 21, 2015, 6:43 AM

Chris Collura commented on iCyclone's photo.

It was October 24 when south Florida got nailed from this storm.

https://youtu.be/TJ07nW0EkAo

Posted: Oct 20, 2015, 8:11 PM

Chris Collura commented on Raychel Sanner's post.

Posted: Oct 20, 2015, 8:01 PM

Chris Collura commented on Dave Lewison's post.

Trees don't match reflection in water. Water looks like it's not real. Where are the ripples / winds created from the bird that close to water surface? Wings transparent in the reflection but not in the actual bird. Colors radically enhanced.

Posted: Oct 20, 2015, 3:37 PM

Chris Collura commented on iCyclone's photo.

Finally!

Posted: Oct 20, 2015, 3:36 PM

Chris Collura commented on Jack Corso's photo.

Baseball! Mets are winning so far :/

Posted: Oct 20, 2015, 1:17 PM

Chris Collura commented on Doug Kiesling's link.

I'm amazed on how people thought the future MIGHT look like 25 years or so before the fact ... Space 1999 (lunar colonization), glass dome cars (instead of SUVs), and the arrays of CRT's in Star Trek and Alien movies (supposed to be far future). No where is a smartphone / iphone to be seen in back to the future!

Posted: Oct 20, 2015, 1:06 PM

Chris Collura commented on his own photo.

Man ... I just took a loud and bubbly (and down right soUpey) poop here at work.

When I got out there was a guy having an interview in suit and tie across the hallway in one of the offices.

I wish I could have recorded it!

Posted: Oct 20, 2015, 1:00 PM

Chris Collura replied to Dave Lewison's comment.

Exactly ... I always check. If anyone is in there I don't go. Or if I leave, I make sure no one else is in there. Or, there's an upstairs rest room that's almost always empty outside of lunch (the so called SAFE HAVEN)!

Posted: Oct 20, 2015, 9:51 AM


LOL ... The office has its fringe benefits. Free TP, accidents / spills cleaned up, just keep it confidential!

Posted: Oct 20, 2015, 8:29 AM

Chris Collura replied to Matt Sellers's comment.

I'm not sure. Doug Kiesling stressed in 2006 / 2007 we probably won't see that 2004 / 2005 pattern again in 20 or 30 years. He is obviously right.

Posted: Oct 20, 2015, 8:20 AM

Chris Collura replied to Matt Sellers's comment.

Emily?

Posted: Oct 20, 2015, 8:17 AM

Chris Collura commented on his own photo.

Yeah ... We wound up going WELL into the Greek alphabet in 2005 ... With Zeta lasting into 2006. It was bizarre celebrating Christmas and New Years with an active storm like that in the Atlantic!

Imagine: "The NHC needs you to work on New Years eve. I'm sorry ... we will pay you triple overtime"!

Posted: Oct 20, 2015, 8:15 AM

Chris Collura replied to his own comment.

Hey Sandra Maxwell ... the one being posted around last month was not shared, it was just the image without a date with a title saying "this morning north of Navy Pier". There was a small setup that warranted waterspouts over lake Michigan.

And yes ... I would pay $1000 if I was guaranteed to get a shot like this one. Wow indeed!

Posted: Oct 20, 2015, 8:12 AM

Chris Collura wrote on GerryandMauna Maddock's timeline.

Happy birthday buddy!

Posted: Oct 20, 2015, 7:59 AM


OK ... With the Atlantic void of any threats ... My turn to post a lame "anniversary" type story - Actually not all that "lame"!Hurricane Wilma was raging on a path from the W Caribbean through Mexico and into Florida exactly a decade ago (10 years). Ironically this was the last time the United States had a landfall of a major hurricane - Yes TEN YEARS (sorry, global warming advicates)!With an intensity of almost 190 MPH (try to wrap your mind around that - winds sustained at over 3 miles a minute, with gusts probably over 250 MPH ... An EF5 tornado is 200 MPH and up)! With an eye 2.5 miles wide and central pressure of 882 mb ... basically sea level pressure defecit of about 1.9 PSI (12.7 instead of 14.7) ... about the same as being 4000 feet above sea level. What a sight to behold. Then the storm goes through eyewall replacement cycles, and winds up with a giant eye 40 miles across, hitting the Yucatan, then South Florida at 125 MPH causing 87 fatalities and almost 30 billion dollars in damages. Meanwhile, tropical storm Alpha, the first storm to use the Greek alphabet, is in the Bahamas. Wilma's huge circulation eventually tears apart and absorbs TS Alpha (Fujiwara effect) after hitting Florida and going out to sea.Those were the days...

Posted: Oct 20, 2015, 6:12 AM

Chris Collura commented on Blake Michaleski's post.

A month ago someone posted this saying it was a waterspout off lake Michigan in Chicago.

Let's put it this way ... the comments sure lit up because of the palm tree! You don't have palm trees in Chicago.

Posted: Oct 20, 2015, 6:06 AM

Chris Collura replied to George Kourounis's comment.

Might be that camera angle too. I've seen CGs striking just outside an airplane window and actually heard the sound through the nearly soundproof fuselage.

Planes are designed to take lightning hits and even mitigate them via static discharge wicks on the trailing edges of wingtips.

Planes are NOT designed for a direct hit with a positive giant "superbolt". One such strike led to the destruction of a glider back in 1999.

Posted: Oct 19, 2015, 6:31 AM

Chris Collura commented on Josh Morgerman's post.

Posted: Oct 18, 2015, 5:02 PM

Chris Collura replied to Mchriz Portz's comment.

Not surprised on the intensity. Shear gone, nighttime diurnal cycle, NOT the western hemisphere.

Posted: Oct 18, 2015, 4:04 PM

Chris Collura commented on Michelle Harding Doletina's post.

Posted: Oct 18, 2015, 2:04 PM

Chris Collura replied to his own comment.

Oh I know, Josh Morgerman! Count your blessings you saw a lot of storms. Haven't seen shear (temporary) from the N or NE in the Atlantic since 2005. The Atlantic and gulf hurricane engine is simply broken.

Posted: Oct 18, 2015, 1:57 PM

Chris Collura commented on iCyclone's photo.

So many anniversary "## years ago today THIS and THAT happened". It's good for many people a disaster of this type probably WON'T happen in this hemisphere for some time (esp 2015) but if you're suffering from TSDS (tropical SDS) AND have not been to WPAC chasing ... you're in a world of hurt, on par with longing to play a sport you simply can't play ever again.

Posted: Oct 18, 2015, 1:46 PM

Chris Collura commented on Tim Marshall's video.

Verne Carlson and I got SUCKERED north AWAY from our original target (SW of Wheeler TX that day) to near Liberal, Kansas. Quite un arguably the worst decision I / we made in our chase careers. No redemption either the next day (deep in the shrubs and thickets of Arkansas).

Posted: Oct 18, 2015, 1:23 PM

Chris Collura updated his status.

Miami Dolphins kicked ass today!

Posted: Oct 18, 2015, 12:08 PM

Chris Collura commented on Stephen Barabas's post.

Posted: Oct 17, 2015, 5:11 PM

Chris Collura commented on Bill Hark's post.

ATM machines. I'll punch anyone in the face who tells me "they're removing" them.

$450 in past 11 months and a denied dispute and counting ... thanks to those.

Cha-ching!

Posted: Oct 17, 2015, 5:08 PM

Chris Collura commented on iCyclone's post.

Yeah but it's still an awesome page and the information provided on it is very helpful.

Posted: Oct 17, 2015, 2:10 PM

Chris Collura commented on iCyclone's photo.

I wonder how many folks there will see stars?

At night. Booo.

Posted: Oct 17, 2015, 2:06 PM

Chris Collura commented on Jason Foster's post.

Karma!!!!!!!!!

Posted: Oct 17, 2015, 2:03 PM

Chris Collura commented on iCyclone's photo.

Night landfall too (ugh) ... hope everyone fairs well out there.

Posted: Oct 17, 2015, 1:59 PM

Chris Collura commented on Michael Laca's post.

Happy anniversary. Again.

Buy her a ring...

2015 sux.

Posted: Oct 16, 2015, 7:04 PM

Chris Collura commented on Kimothi Albani's video.

Lol ... like me = clumsy!!!

Posted: Oct 16, 2015, 7:03 PM

Chris Collura commented on Jason Smith's post.



Posted: Oct 16, 2015, 4:57 PM

Chris Collura commented on iCyclone's photo.

Interesting. Looks like it overcame the hurdle of some vertical wind shear but is basically running out of water and should begin to feel the effects of the "natural typhoon shield" in eastern Luzon (mountains). Fortunately there are few populations there. The big thing will be heavy rains and flash flooding over a wide area.

Posted: Oct 16, 2015, 4:53 PM

Chris Collura replied to his own comment.

Posted: Oct 16, 2015, 4:25 PM

Chris Collura commented on a post.

Posted: Oct 16, 2015, 4:18 PM

Chris Collura commented on Rachel Harrison's post.

Posted: Oct 16, 2015, 4:09 PM

Chris Collura commented on Joseph Barton Comstock's post.

Can he still throw an 88 mph fast ball?

Posted: Oct 16, 2015, 3:45 PM

Chris Collura commented on Jeffrey Lâm Hùng's post.

Lots of rice there! You want some rice?

Posted: Oct 16, 2015, 7:18 AM

Chris Collura commented on Josh Morgerman's post.

Posted: Oct 16, 2015, 6:10 AM

Chris Collura commented on Dave Lewison's post.

LOL ... I've done that too. I often brush my teeth and shave in the shower with no mirror.

If I poop while brushing my teeth I often lean back and spit the toothpaste (aiming carefully so it don't fall ON my junk) down as well!

Posted: Oct 16, 2015, 6:07 AM

Chris Collura commented on Jason Smith's post.



Posted: Oct 15, 2015, 11:20 PM

Chris Collura commented on Jason Smith's post.

Group: RadarScope Users Group

Wind turbines.

Posted: Oct 15, 2015, 11:19 PM

Chris Collura commented on Mona Lowenthal Krimsky's photo.

Sure beats "planting artichokes" class, ey?

Posted: Oct 15, 2015, 5:27 PM

Chris Collura commented on Jason Foster's post.

These "ATM Machines" screwed nearly $500 out of me up in my area over the past year.

Twice I stopped honestly and the camera still got me. Tried to fight it, lost, and they tacked on $25 late fees.

Also seen 3 rear end collisions at same intersection as ppl panicked seeing the camera.

These effing things are evil. I hope that money grubbing guy gets what karma wants him to get. People who make bombs are worse.

Posted: Oct 15, 2015, 1:47 PM

Chris Collura commented on Doug Kiesling's post.

https://youtu.be/L75ESD9PBOw

Posted: Oct 15, 2015, 10:21 AM

Chris Collura commented on his own photo.



Posted: Oct 15, 2015, 9:50 AM

Chris Collura commented on Tim Marshall's post.

Fantastic 4? Ironman?

Posted: Oct 15, 2015, 9:49 AM


First big cold front is coming to the North / Central USA...

Posted: Oct 15, 2015, 6:07 AM

Chris Collura commented on iCyclone's photo.

I would go if I were you. The only down side is the lack of places to go on the east side of Luzon.

Definitely NOT the Atlantic. As I mentioned, NE shear is very temporary and signifies a busy season.

Posted: Oct 15, 2015, 6:02 AM

Chris Collura commented on Dave Lewison's post.

I remember a while back I setup my GMAIL account and to my surprise, "cdcollura" was already taken. I thought I set it up long ago and just forgot the password. At no avail, I just created "cdcollura123" for the user.

I get things like airline / hotel confirmations, rental lease ads, etc coming to me. It turns out I never has an account, it's "Caroline Collura" in New York. Not related, just same user name without the "123".

After forwarding them, Caroline was very happy ... plus eventually these emails stopped (corrected it to her address).

Thank God my name is kinda uncommon. Imagine if it was "John Smith" or something!

Posted: Oct 14, 2015, 7:13 PM

Chris Collura commented on iCyclone's photo.

Also ... this shear is from the NE, not the crippling and relentless SW shear plaguing the W Hemisphere, and is TEMPORARY due to TUTT low / trough. NE shear often happens during very active seasons, like 04 and 05 in the Atlantic (the last time I saw it in that basin).

Posted: Oct 14, 2015, 7:09 PM

Chris Collura commented on iCyclone's photo.

Davilican Bay / north of there. I think NO one lives on that coast. There's just a dirt road there running sporadically and no towns. Aparri maybe will get something if it takes that track.

Posted: Oct 14, 2015, 3:02 PM

Chris Collura commented on Eric Treece's post.

Posted: Oct 14, 2015, 2:57 PM

Chris Collura commented on Jeff Piotrowski's post.

Joplin, MO and Alabama in 2011 certainly didn't help.

Posted: Oct 14, 2015, 10:45 AM

Chris Collura commented on Charles Eugene's post.

Posted: Oct 14, 2015, 6:22 AM

Chris Collura commented on Aaron Rigsby's photo.

At least it wasn't a stolen Mike Hollingshead picture!

Posted: Oct 14, 2015, 6:20 AM

Chris Collura commented on Roy Britt's video.

Elevated supercell ... neat seeing the detached base (accessory clouds) like that due to the icentropic lift of the powerful elevated storm just above it. We're you just north of a warm front?

Posted: Oct 13, 2015, 6:56 PM

Chris Collura commented on Dalton Do's post.

Posted: Oct 13, 2015, 6:50 PM

Chris Collura added a new photo.


Ricky Martin (One World Tour) in concert - Chicago (Allstate Arena near Rosemont) - October 11, 2015.

Posted: Oct 13, 2015, 6:50 PM

Chris Collura added a new photo.


Ricky Martin (One World Tour) in concert - Chicago (Allstate Arena near Rosemont) - October 11, 2015.

Posted: Oct 13, 2015, 6:50 PM

Chris Collura added a new photo.


Ricky Martin (One World Tour) in concert - Chicago (Allstate Arena near Rosemont) - October 11, 2015.

Posted: Oct 13, 2015, 6:50 PM

Chris Collura added a new photo.


Ricky Martin (One World Tour) in concert - Chicago (Allstate Arena near Rosemont) - October 11, 2015.

Posted: Oct 13, 2015, 6:50 PM

Chris Collura added a new photo.


Ricky Martin (One World Tour) in concert - Chicago (Allstate Arena near Rosemont) - October 11, 2015.

Posted: Oct 13, 2015, 6:18 PM

Chris Collura commented on Bryan Wilson's post.

Group: RadarScope Users Group

Those are called "roost rings" I believe. Birds coming out of roosting and taking flight.

Posted: Oct 13, 2015, 6:17 PM

Chris Collura updated his status.

Cubs win! Off to NLCS!

What more can I say?

Posted: Oct 13, 2015, 2:59 PM

Chris Collura commented on Stephen Sponsler's post.

Crap ... My mortgage payment was in there somewhere :/

Posted: Oct 13, 2015, 2:58 PM

Chris Collura commented on Verne Carlson's photo.

Seems like you're in the midst of a complete home flip or makeover!

Posted: Oct 13, 2015, 2:56 PM

Chris Collura commented on John Thomas Moon III's post.

Nice ... but who fixes anything anymore?

I know a few on here who do (or TRY).

But not the arrogant people they dated :(

The "AE" = Australia Effect :/

Posted: Oct 13, 2015, 1:17 PM

Chris Collura updated his status.

Funny ... Lilapsophobia - Fear of tornadoes or hurricanes.

So I'm a LilapsoPHILE.

Astraphobia = Fear of thunderstorms (lightning).

Phile = Greek for "love", Phobos = Greek for "hate or fear".

Philidelphia = love your brother :)

Posted: Oct 13, 2015, 10:32 AM

Chris Collura commented on Bill Hark's post.

Sure ... People just go to Facebook now :(

Posted: Oct 13, 2015, 8:39 AM

Chris Collura replied to his own comment.

Yeah ... it's that 500 mb Baja low that's shearing it all off and keeping it at bay. This blocking pattern can last for 3 weeks. It's been 85 deg in chicago in response to the thermal ridgeing across the central USA as well. Even the fall tornado "mini" season was killed by this. And the Atlantic - forget it (shear apart or recurve).

Stinks when a season lasts a month normally and a locked up pattern kills 90% of it. Good for those who hate storms.

Posted: Oct 13, 2015, 8:21 AM

Chris Collura replied to Margie Kieper's comment.

If it's the UV filter, just unscrew it and replace it with a new one. Only $20 or so at Best Buy.

Posted: Oct 13, 2015, 8:20 AM

Chris Collura commented on iCyclone's photo.

Probably will be major since it's in WPAC. Mexico and it's El Niño season failed to do anything in EPAC.

Posted: Oct 13, 2015, 8:18 AM

Chris Collura commented on Stephen Sponsler's post.

Time for the truck!

Posted: Oct 13, 2015, 8:13 AM

Chris Collura commented on Chris Kridler's photo.

Relax, it's just the UV filter :)

Posted: Oct 13, 2015, 7:43 AM

Chris Collura updated his status.

If you like Chicago and you like baseball ... This is your week!

Posted: Oct 13, 2015, 7:42 AM

Chris Collura commented on Doug White's post.

Group: RadarScope Users Group

Anamolous propagation (inversion scattering / refracting more with ground clutter)? Or could be just dust / insects at night too.

Posted: Oct 13, 2015, 7:16 AM

Chris Collura commented on Aaron Rigsby's photo.

Pretty much May 18, 2014 in a new "castle" on an island offshore of Dubai!

Posted: Oct 13, 2015, 7:14 AM

Chris Collura commented on Dave Lewison's photo.

Awesome! My current job in IL after leaving the one in Florida has pretty much NO stress. The FL one akmost gave me a heart attack! And the pay now is more than doubled. Gets you thinking, ey?

Posted: Oct 13, 2015, 6:23 AM

Chris Collura commented on Aaron Rigsby's photo.

You see ... I told you. Supercells can form anywhere in the world - AS long as conditions are right!

And as long as people have photoshop and Internet access.

Posted: Oct 13, 2015, 6:13 AM

Chris Collura commented on Jeffrey Lâm Hùng's post.

Posted: Oct 13, 2015, 6:07 AM

Chris Collura commented on Nick Nolte's photo.



Posted: Oct 12, 2015, 7:18 PM

Chris Collura updated his status.

Awesome "job" by the Cubs tonight!

Posted: Oct 12, 2015, 2:45 PM

Chris Collura commented on Jeffrey Lâm Hùng's post.

Posted: Oct 12, 2015, 2:41 PM

Chris Collura commented on Jeffrey Lâm Hùng's post.

I've seen this footage. Flash floods occur suddenly and without warning like this.

Posted: Oct 12, 2015, 2:40 PM

Chris Collura commented on John Martel's post.

Posted: Oct 12, 2015, 6:12 AM

Chris Collura replied to Chuck Russell's comment.

And what a portrayal of meteorological violence that was!

Posted: Oct 11, 2015, 9:30 PM

Chris Collura replied to Adam Cooley's comment.

Amazing ... he started up again after like a 10 year layoff.

Posted: Oct 11, 2015, 8:28 PM


Ricky Martin just wrapped up a kick ass show in Chicago. La Vida Loca!

Posted: Oct 11, 2015, 2:02 PM

Chris Collura commented on Chris Downs's post.

Posted: Oct 11, 2015, 1:41 PM

Chris Collura commented on a post.

Posted: Oct 11, 2015, 1:39 PM

Chris Collura commented on Storm Assist's photo.



Posted: Oct 11, 2015, 11:22 AM

Chris Collura commented on Vu Dan Huy's photo.

Posted: Oct 11, 2015, 10:57 AM

Chris Collura commented on Tony Mesias's post.

April 9, 2015 near Rochelle, IL.

Posted: Oct 11, 2015, 10:55 AM

Chris Collura commented on Stephen Barabas's post.

Posted: Oct 10, 2015, 2:52 PM

Chris Collura commented on Tony Mesias's post.

I'm Italian: 90 MINUTES or 3 drinks, whichever comes first!

Posted: Oct 10, 2015, 2:43 PM

Chris Collura commented on a post.

Posted: Oct 10, 2015, 2:40 PM


Always pick up after yourself. Dog or no dog!

Posted: Oct 10, 2015, 7:32 AM

Chris Collura replied to Brendan Taylor's comment.

Same here ... more football for me.

Posted: Oct 10, 2015, 7:28 AM

Chris Collura commented on Chris Kridler's video.

Looked like a meso low.

Posted: Oct 9, 2015, 4:47 PM

Chris Collura replied to his own comment.

I know. Thanks ... it happens all too much.

Posted: Oct 9, 2015, 4:04 PM

Chris Collura commented on Brenda Ruffin's post.

Group: RadarScope Users Group

Kelvin Helmholtz wave clouds. Don't fly through those :)

Posted: Oct 9, 2015, 4:03 PM

Chris Collura commented on Thad Bowling's post.

That's the scum rich snobs in S Florida. They're not nasty cuz they're rich, they're nasty because they inherited it and they never worked hard for it, therefore they don't appreciate it.

Posted: Oct 9, 2015, 3:57 PM

Chris Collura replied to Dave Whitaker's comment.

I'm sure if she slammed into Brads rig he would have barely felt it ... She probably wouldn't feel anything though as she would have been dead!

Posted: Oct 9, 2015, 3:26 PM

Chris Collura replied to Matt Sellers's comment.

Exactly. Not gonna be any "Oct 9 2001" event this time!

Posted: Oct 9, 2015, 8:00 AM

Chris Collura commented on Brad Emel's photo.

Why didn't she just slow down and take the extra 5 seconds to pass you at safe speed when you stopped? And with kids in the car? What a bitch.

Posted: Oct 9, 2015, 6:32 AM

Chris Collura commented on Matt Sellers's photo.

They're won't be a fall season as long as I (the Chris Collura) is in the central USA! If I Move back to FL and watch what happens :/

Posted: Oct 9, 2015, 5:59 AM

Chris Collura commented on Caryn Hill's post.

Posted: Oct 8, 2015, 5:38 PM

Chris Collura commented on Brett Wright's photo.

I'm thinking Arby's!

Posted: Oct 8, 2015, 3:40 PM

Chris Collura commented on Dalton Do's post.

Posted: Oct 8, 2015, 11:38 AM

Chris Collura commented on Brian McNoldy's post.

The sole purpose of a hurricane is to DO JUST THAT!

Notice how the gulf of Mexico is un touched. But shear will keep that area snuffed for most of the time ...

Unless something forms in the lower "armpit" area of the Bay of Campeche. That area seems to be active during lame Atlantic seasons.

Posted: Oct 8, 2015, 7:00 AM

Chris Collura commented on Stormtrack's link.

I feel the void of those wonderful people missing - and keep them in my heart - each year and every time I'm out chasing! I expect to roll over that hill on 183 approaching a huge supercell and see his big research vehicle, but I don't. Sigh.

Posted: Oct 8, 2015, 6:48 AM


The lack of a fall "mini" storm chasing season is quite understandable when you see this annotated H5 (500 mb flow) map. Be HAPPY we did not see this in May and June! A storm chasers nightmare.The good thing is that this blocking pattern should keep the central USA and parts of the Midwest warm and choke off any hurricane threats in the east Pacific and N Atlantic US coasts for at least a week.

Posted: Oct 8, 2015, 6:04 AM

Chris Collura commented on Dave Lewison's post.

Yes I was thinking EXACTLY the same thing seeing the tarp flapping in the wind showing no pressure "stretching". Then I assumed more oxygen at 3 PSI like in space suits, but there was a scene where a guage said "12.6 PSI". Also 120 MPH winds at 1/100 of sea level here on earth would produce a mere 5 to 10 MPH of "indicated" airspeed during the storm. Finally ... sound won't travel well in Mars atmosphere either (hypoacoustic effect), it should be more like the way sound travels inside a light bulb.

Posted: Oct 7, 2015, 9:04 PM

Chris Collura commented on Roger Hill's photo.

Maybe a marginal for IL tomorrow. Better than nothing...

Cutoff Baja low at H5, trough east ... yeah a fall death ridge as per GFS.

Posted: Oct 7, 2015, 6:35 PM

Chris Collura commented on a post.

Posted: Oct 7, 2015, 5:58 PM

Chris Collura commented on Doug Kiesling's photo.

Wow!

Posted: Oct 7, 2015, 6:20 AM

Chris Collura commented on George Kourounis's post.

Easier than trying to forecast a hurricane, ey?

Posted: Oct 7, 2015, 6:19 AM


Now this is funny ... These signs have been posted in my office and I know exactly what's going on.There's this older white gentleman who literally chain smokes and when he uses the rest room, it smells strong of cigarette smoke - even 5 minutes after he's done!Being around him is like being around a chimney. Fortunately he works outside so no one complains inside (had he bern in an office). Now imagine what his lungs look like?Just quit...

Posted: Oct 6, 2015, 5:48 PM

Chris Collura replied to Katie Stiles's comment.

Farting is one thing ... Having the "runs" (diarrhea) - That would suck!

Posted: Oct 6, 2015, 5:46 PM

Chris Collura commented on 10 Tampa Bay's link.

Ok ... so if you forget to check in and check in late ... you get THESE seats?

And I like the window ... so this makes it that much harder to get the window seats!

Jeez, where people, not MONKEYS!

Posted: Oct 6, 2015, 5:28 PM

Chris Collura commented on Huanito Muca's photo.

Yes. All the way!

Posted: Oct 6, 2015, 12:34 PM

Chris Collura commented on Dalton Do's post.

Posted: Oct 6, 2015, 6:57 AM

Chris Collura commented on The NOAA Hurricane Hunters's post.



Posted: Oct 6, 2015, 6:49 AM

Chris Collura replied to Willoughby Owen's comment.

LOL ... Actually $50 is a small price to pay if you're drunk and can't drive and you puke in a cab than in the hospital after a deadly accident.

Posted: Oct 5, 2015, 8:56 PM

Chris Collura commented on Ken Penney's post.

Posted: Oct 5, 2015, 8:33 PM

Chris Collura replied to his own comment.

Yes ... true. At least it's better than what we had.

Posted: Oct 5, 2015, 8:31 PM

Chris Collura commented on Skyscanner's photo.

It's beautiful ... but looking at current events a flash flood there would stink.

Posted: Oct 5, 2015, 7:51 PM

Chris Collura commented on Derek Sibley's post.

Theres always next year. This might be too late for this year. Patience pays I guess ... But with this team, mine is almost gone.

Posted: Oct 5, 2015, 5:13 PM

Chris Collura commented on Kevin Short's post.

Missing "S". I think I'll solve it...

Posted: Oct 5, 2015, 4:59 PM


Vegetable porridge from Korean HMart tonight. Not as bad as it looks!

Posted: Oct 5, 2015, 2:33 PM

Chris Collura commented on U.S. National Weather Service (NWS)'s video.

Training at its finest.

Posted: Oct 5, 2015, 2:31 PM

Chris Collura commented on WPLG Local 10's link.

What would happen if I was a "black computer engineer" instead of a white one ... Another bad example.

Posted: Oct 5, 2015, 2:22 PM

Chris Collura commented on Marko Korošec's post.

Posted: Oct 5, 2015, 2:12 PM

Chris Collura commented on Tony Mesias's post.

Posted: Oct 5, 2015, 12:56 PM

Chris Collura commented on No more Gase in This place's photo.

Well ... he BOUNCED now :(

Posted: Oct 5, 2015, 9:53 AM

Chris Collura commented on Derek Sibley's post.

Good.

Posted: Oct 5, 2015, 8:41 AM

Chris Collura replied to Dave St. Ringer's comment.

Posted: Oct 5, 2015, 7:22 AM

Chris Collura replied to his own comment.

No offense, Nick Nolte ... It's pretty awesome.

Posted: Oct 5, 2015, 7:19 AM

Chris Collura replied to his own comment.

Yeah ... I think I'm confusing the term.

Posted: Oct 5, 2015, 7:04 AM

Chris Collura commented on a post.

Posted: Oct 5, 2015, 7:00 AM


Got a laugh seeing this at work this morning helping some coworkers arriving by taxi cab at our office here from Chicago's airport.Reasonable cab fares - UNTIL you puke in it!

Posted: Oct 5, 2015, 6:41 AM

Chris Collura replied to his own comment.

One term of data folding is when there are color codes on a display (base reflectivity, VIL, etc) that start using the light precipitation colors since you maxed out the highest color available and have to start using the color table over again. Let's simply say you have blue, green, and red. Red being 55 to 65 dbz. A 75 dbz return may show up as a blue area within the red. And 85 dbz as a green area in that, etc.

Posted: Oct 4, 2015, 6:35 PM

Chris Collura commented on ABC Action News - WFTS - Tampa Bay's link.

Can we program one to punch the core based on storm location and GPS?

Posted: Oct 4, 2015, 5:20 PM

Chris Collura commented on Edwin F. Barbosa's post.

Wow ... look at all that coastal silt and turbidity!

Posted: Oct 4, 2015, 4:42 PM

Chris Collura commented on Michelle Harding Doletina's post.

Posted: Oct 4, 2015, 4:33 PM

Chris Collura commented on iCyclone's photo.

I think in Igor (2010) that same station reported a gust 138 knots. The elevation definitely had an influence.

Posted: Oct 4, 2015, 2:55 PM

Chris Collura commented on No more Gase in This place's photo.

Awesome!!!!

Never knew he skydived!

Posted: Oct 4, 2015, 2:50 PM

Chris Collura commented on Edwin F. Barbosa's photo.

I am looking at this and I just happen to be on a "train".

Posted: Oct 4, 2015, 1:32 PM

Chris Collura replied to Sydne Vigille's comment.

Did the same with the hurricane season in July. Really softens the blow when you get it all off your chest early.

Posted: Oct 4, 2015, 1:30 PM

Chris Collura replied to Joseph K Coal's comment.

Ok thanks. That would be so cool to see.

Apparently the Taiwanese seem to know about air off mountains disrupting a prior landfall system more than what many think.

The lack of high terrain in this case seemed to maintain a symmetrical storm.

Posted: Oct 4, 2015, 1:24 PM

Chris Collura replied to Joseph K Coal's comment.

Any links to these?

Posted: Oct 4, 2015, 1:21 PM

Chris Collura commented on Brad Emel's video.

Posted: Oct 4, 2015, 1:20 PM

Chris Collura replied to Andrew Hutchens's comment.

Hey Derek Sibley. I hope this is either just a slump or directly related to the worst coaching, like you said, in years.

Posted: Oct 4, 2015, 1:18 PM

Chris Collura commented on Dalton Do's post.

Posted: Oct 4, 2015, 1:14 PM

Chris Collura commented on Nick Nolte's photo.

Wow. Data folded as well. Incredible storm training.

Posted: Oct 4, 2015, 1:13 PM

Chris Collura replied to Danilo Grkovich's comment.

Posted: Oct 4, 2015, 1:11 PM

Chris Collura replied to Andrew Hutchens's comment.

The team is screwed (in the state it's in now). Their defense is a failure and they cannot even move the ball in their offensive. It's gonna take a total be build of the team and coaching before this will change. Not something that happens in a couple of months.

Posted: Oct 4, 2015, 1:04 PM

Chris Collura commented on Derek Sibley's post.

The anger ... Akin to discovering in July that the season will be a fish / shear year ... In a similar fashion we learned the Dolphins will suck the whole year LAST WEEK. This week is not a surprise. I vented it all out in a rage after the game last week. This week it's like "sure I know"!

Posted: Oct 4, 2015, 11:44 AM

Chris Collura commented on Dustin Wilcox's post.

Posted: Oct 4, 2015, 11:42 AM

Chris Collura commented on Michael Laca's post.

Happy anniversary ... got em on my mind!!!

Posted: Oct 4, 2015, 10:28 AM


2015 trolling along. Shear, Bermuda, Dolphins and Philbin......Discuss.

Posted: Oct 4, 2015, 8:26 AM

Chris Collura replied to Charles Edwards's comment.

And many will never meet him.

For more info on those who HAVE met him in his pre viagara years... Ask the hurricane hunters.

Bermuda and the bahamas also got a glimpse of him as a teenager and old man ... but not Joaquin in his "prolific" years!

Posted: Oct 3, 2015, 4:41 PM

Chris Collura commented on a post.

Posted: Oct 3, 2015, 4:10 PM

Chris Collura commented on iCyclone's photo.

Pinhole eye!

Posted: Oct 3, 2015, 4:09 PM

Chris Collura replied to Stephen Sponsler's comment.

A hurricane we can't chase.

Posted: Oct 3, 2015, 2:54 PM

Chris Collura commented on iCyclone's photo.

Nice change.

Posted: Oct 3, 2015, 2:11 PM

Chris Collura commented on Luis Alberto LLense's post.

Yo necessito una penicilla, por favor...

Posted: Oct 3, 2015, 2:10 PM

Chris Collura commented on Jeffrey Lâm Hùng's post.

Very WATERMELON!

Posted: Oct 3, 2015, 2:07 PM

Chris Collura commented on Josh Morgerman's post.

Posted: Oct 3, 2015, 2:04 PM

Chris Collura commented on Jeff Piotrowski's post.

What's worse, this or 150 mph winds?

This actually PREVENTED the latter.

Posted: Oct 3, 2015, 2:02 PM

Chris Collura commented on Jason Foster's photo.

If I ever get to Tampa. .. I wanna see your place!

Posted: Oct 3, 2015, 11:53 AM

Chris Collura replied to his own comment.

The outflow is definitely providing divergence aloft for the MCS.

Posted: Oct 3, 2015, 11:38 AM

Chris Collura replied to Derek Sibley's comment.

Not! Lol

Posted: Oct 3, 2015, 11:22 AM

Chris Collura commented on his own post.

Yeah. So many "should haves".

Posted: Oct 3, 2015, 11:15 AM

Chris Collura replied to his own comment.

Shear axis. Danilo Grkovich.

Posted: Oct 3, 2015, 11:12 AM

Chris Collura commented on Michael Laca's post.

I cringe if it hit Bermuda "like that". Looks like a bullet burn for them at most.

Posted: Oct 3, 2015, 11:11 AM

Chris Collura commented on Michael Laca's post.

Wow ... see what happens when the shear (storm relative) drops due to the NE acceleration!

Posted: Oct 3, 2015, 11:00 AM

Chris Collura commented on his own post.

Yeah same here. Wud suck if the island takes a direct trolling hit and no chaser is even there.

Posted: Oct 3, 2015, 10:46 AM

Chris Collura updated his status.

If anyone is wondering why Joaquin is so violent now ... It's because it's now moving quickly NE under similar SW flow aloft! This is where the term STORM RELATIVE SHEAR comes into play, or lack of it!

Posted: Oct 3, 2015, 10:42 AM

Chris Collura commented on Dave Lewison's photo.

The non tropical aspects of that storm reaches past Chicago.

Posted: Oct 3, 2015, 10:41 AM

Chris Collura updated his status.

Ok humor me ... Anyone rolling dice and going to Bermuda?

Or is everyone being like me and don't give a crap about Joaquin's track anymore and hate gambling?

Too late to get there anyway...

Posted: Oct 3, 2015, 9:44 AM


Big waves off Lake Michigan near Chicago this morning (10/3). Fall weather is here!Place: Promontory Point (41.7958, -87.5769) Address: Chicago, Illinois

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 9:30 PM

Chris Collura updated his status.

I won't be on FB a few days.

Enuff is Enuff.

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 8:54 PM

Chris Collura commented on Verne Carlson's post.

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 8:52 PM

Chris Collura commented on Michael Laca's post.

Whatever. ..

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 8:51 PM

Chris Collura updated his status.

Three words before I go to sleep: Screw Storm Chasing.

Three more words: F@CK the models.

Three final words: Good Night Folks.

Jim Leonard (RIP) turning over in his grave on this one.

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 12:39 PM

Chris Collura replied to Derek Sibley's comment.

I almost went there. Don't laugh.

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 12:38 PM

Chris Collura commented on Tropmet's photo.

Marginal area.

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 12:37 PM

Chris Collura commented on a post.

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 11:36 AM

Chris Collura replied to Lori Ferguson's comment.

And some copyright infringement claims from some stolen Fortran code from the Euro model?

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 11:32 AM

Chris Collura updated his status.

Screw Joaquin. Just did nothing but SCREW UP everyone's weekend plans!

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 10:58 AM

Chris Collura commented on a photo.

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 10:57 AM

Chris Collura replied to Marko Korošec's comment.

Yeah ... Even SPC has 10% hatched outlook surrounded by 5%, 2%, and marginal areas ... Violent tornado forms 500 miles west of the "marginal".

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 10:36 AM

Chris Collura updated his status.

2015 has been a major example of NEVER trusting weather models! Any models!

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 10:34 AM

Chris Collura replied to Brian Barnes's comment.

Not sure if that's in the storms direct path.

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 9:38 AM

Chris Collura commented on Dave Lewison's post.

I'll wait until Sat night before making any decisions.

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 9:37 AM

Chris Collura replied to Stephen Skelly's comment.

They should be OK ... The storm will weaken alot and bump east.

The uninhabited / scant resort islands of the Bahamas are the only concerns now.

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 9:35 AM

Chris Collura commented on Doug Kiesling's post.



Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 9:27 AM

Chris Collura replied to Joseph Barton Comstock's comment.

It's 2015 ... not 2005. You're not in Asia Pacific ... And El Niño is active. ... Wake up!

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 9:21 AM

Chris Collura replied to a comment.

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 9:20 AM

Chris Collura commented on Dave Lewison's post.

Disgusting.

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 9:02 AM

Chris Collura replied to a comment.

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 9:00 AM

Chris Collura replied to Jim Johnson's comment.

Hurricanes CANNOT cross a front.

Falls here guys.

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 7:25 AM

Chris Collura replied to Lori Ferguson's comment.

Quite likeky. It was stationary and oriented n to s.

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 7:22 AM

Chris Collura commented on Jeff Piotrowski's post.

Yeah I'm sure we will see many Bahamas news reports like this. Anyone make it down there???

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 7:21 AM

Chris Collura commented on Dave Lewison's photo.

Many models are trending east now. Not being in the Bahamas (esp San Salvador) now is ultimately sickening. Flights on Spirit to there yesterday were under $250 r/t. Oh well... it's the Atlantic Basin so WTF do we all expect?

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 7:04 AM

Chris Collura commented on Derek Sibley's photo.

Semana Cay is uninhabited.

No airstrip. No roads. Accessible only by boat.

San Salvador will get clocked even worse if that N turn materializes.

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 6:52 AM

Chris Collura commented on Derek Sibley's photo.

I was looking at tickets from Ft Lauderdale to San Salvador on Spirit airlines for $250 r/t. I said "noh, what's the chance?"

Yeah, right...

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 6:50 AM

Chris Collura replied to his own comment.

Total BS with these freaking models. I won't eat fish for a YEAR after this...

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 6:25 AM

Chris Collura wrote on Stephen Skelly's timeline.

Happy birthday ... and no hurricane for FL either!

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 6:24 AM

Chris Collura commented on Tim Marshall's photo.

This track is not the one I wanted. And it's shifting more east than that. I wanted to play in his beard.

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 6:22 AM

Chris Collura commented on Lori Ferguson's photo.



Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 6:21 AM


With such a beautiful presentation and CONTINUED movement to the SW ... Whoever went to the central Bahamas to chase this made a lucky roll of the dice. On the other hand ... I'm sitting tight here in Chicago until I see a definite strike possibility on the Carolinas late weekend to next week (???). A new England chase will probably not bag a hurricane. The thing now is how sharp and WHEN will that N turn be?

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 6:12 AM

Chris Collura commented on Dave Lewison's photo.

I'm kicking myself for not going to San Salvador in the Bahamas.

Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 6:11 AM

Chris Collura commented on Doug Kiesling's photo.



Posted: Oct 1, 2015, 6:08 AM

Chris Collura replied to Mike Umscheid's comment.

For what it's worth. It's not Asia or west Pacific = Cock tease.

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